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Sunday, September 1, 2013

Very Late Sunday

Must be a lazy rainy day.  Forgot to hit publish about three hours ago.

Well if you are awake at the time I started this blog you have been enjoying on of natures sound shows, rolling thunder.  Such events don't bode well for the remainder of the weekend weather wise, but taking the time to enjoy the spectacle in the moment is always an astonishing event, at least for me.

Now by the time it gets published, you can enjoy the wet soggy morning.

Anyway ... 

Best political sign I have seen to date:  "Signs don't vote ... People do ... Vote September 9th".

Best advice a candidate can give to his supporters.  

I have thought long and hard about this election.  So apparently have some of you.  

I have heard predictions for turnout range from 10% to 35%.  I have heard margins of victory from less than a dozen votes to several hundred.   

I have also heard, over and over again, how people are just simply tired of the whole thing.  One of the wild cards in all this is just how many of those too tired people will still have enough energy to get to the polls.  while somewhat misguided in perception, a fair number seem to be looking at this election as a way to bring about an end to some things.

That is the sad part about the board of health race. It isn't being looked at as an election of a member to that board.  It is about an issue.  The candidates have pretty much become superfluous.

In April I do in fact think a fair number of votes were cast by people on more than the simple issue of the turbines (simple only to the extent it being basically the sole issue).  I imagine that those people who voted in April, for the most part, will vote next week in a like manner.  The issue is how many will go out and vote again.

Then there are the :"newbies".  People who will vote Sept. 9th who didn't vote in April.

Anyone out there willing to state that they are switching who they voted for?  Any person willing state state they didn't vote in April but will be voting this time?

Someone made a comment, either in to prior post or on another site, not sure, where I read that they were surprised that both candidates weren't better prepared for the candidates night.  I tend to agree with the sentiment.  

But there are significant points to that night, statements made, answers given, and perceptions about things. If your mind isn't made up, watch the recording.  I think I said previously is was an hour and 1/2 long.  Actual time I believe is around one hour.

I am also curious as to how many out there are really undecided.  I imagine most of you, and I do mean most of you as in 99% who read this blog, are firmly entrenched.  

the political junkie in me is truly intrigued as to what the outcome will be.  My guess is directly related to the turnout factor, and that is based on a complete opposite of the normally accepted view on how the level of turnout can affect a given race.

People seem inclined to be looking at completely unrelated events as somehow convenient coincidences and plots to affect the race.  Me, I look at the stuff as the fact that believe it or not, the world isn't turning simply because of this race.  

I have to tell you though if there are in fact conspiracies and plots equal to those being alleged, I really am being pushed out of the loop on the local politics.  To be honest with you I have been sitting back and shaking my head on a number of the things which actually have occurred and about the things in my opinion that should have occurred.  

Anyway, it will soon be over.  The turnout will be what it will be.  

The election will not end anything, but it will set the political tone in town up to and through the next April election I think.  That really is an extremely intriguing thought for a political junkie.  There will be reams of potential blogging material about the how and why the results came about.

Certain tactics taken by both sides, i.e. Windwise and Friends of Fairhaven Wind; by the candidates; and, relative to turnout and vote spreads by precincts.  

Granted Monday morning quarterbacking is an easy thing, I may in fact post a playbook for post election discussion just to keep other pundits from just making that accusation.  I may even do a prediction if I can get the time to make the rounds to get the legally available information to do some calculations on turnout.

In the short term, the election ends nothing, but it does establish the future path in the short term.

Okay, enough for today.  Need to shift gears and finish some other things this morning.

Be safe.










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