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Monday, September 9, 2013

Still A.B.B. Day 3, but it is finally over

The election that is.  Over.

I don't have all the the numbers in front of me.  Didn't bother to write them down. When the results were announced from Precinct 1, it was clear it was over.

It was a decisive win for DeTerra.  All six precincts.  A turnout near equal, and perchance slightly more than the debt exclusion. Call it thirty-one percent +/-.  Call it a near two to one victory overall.  Closest precincts were 4 and 6, yet each taken by a significant margin.

Granted thirty percent isn't a majority of voters.  But it does reach that realm of the lower end of overall gauge of public sentiment mentioned awhile ago.  The margin of the win solidifies that even more so.

Should have stuck with my mid-day projection.  Would have been dead on as far as the turnout.  I let the 2 to 4 lull throw me off.  Shouldn't have because the first two to three hours of turnout have provided a solid basis in the past.

Still many thought I was nuts with the original revised 23.7%.  I am happy the voter turnout proved me wrong.

I will also say the margin proved me wrong also.  The feel, the vibe, or the buzz, whatever you choose to call it had me thinking somewhere between two and three hundred votes.  Unofficial results have the difference at 849.

Enough about prognostication.

People can try and spin this anyway they like, but the election results were clearly decisive.  The candidates were in many ways lost in the tangled strands of arguments, attacks, counter-attacks.  Each was overshadowed by competing groups.

If you are looking for explanations as to how the result came about, I will refer to to the comment from *Anonymous* looking for my Russert imitation. He/she predicts DeTerra wins, and states the rationale behind the prediction.

I don't agree 100% but it does hit the numerous diverse reasoning expressed by many as to why they were going to and did vote for DeTerra. No need to reinvent the wheel here.

Not the least among those reasons was as noted by the commentator referencing one of the groups involved, " ...they've made serious mistakes in fronting some spokespersons----their candidate is relatively unknown by his own voice, so those letters and public statements caused significant alienation. "

Tactics are always a difficult decision.  What might work in a general election won't carry you necessarily in a special election.  With no other races, attention becomes squarely focused.

No coattails from other races.  No backlash from other matters affecting other races.

There are solid reasons for the result.  If the same aren't abundantly clear, well  quite frankly they should be.

The election is over. That is plainly clear.

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