Pages

Monday, February 24, 2014

The alphabet

I suppose I better bang something out today. If I don't I may be very tempted to stop completely.

Resisting temptation.  A problem most of us I imagine have.  Sometimes we just can't help ourselves.

Part of the reason there hasn't been a blog since Thursday is in fact I am able to count my blessings and include in the same the ability to resist the temptation to let loose on a topic or two.

This time of the year, I have to often resist the temptation to simply the the fingers tap away in a wild ramble or throw my arms up in the air. If you are a loyal reader my apologies as this piece will most likely end up another deja vous all over again rant. Maybe not.

Let's talk about the expenditure vs revenue problem that based on first quotes in one of the paper seems to be a possible theme for the next election.  

See for me, I have been harping on that same theme year in and year out for a long time.  If I have made one mistake over time, it actually has been not harping about it louder.  

It is what it is and trying to turn back time is about the only thing more futile than to expect you can shovel the seaweed off the beach faster than it can wash ashore.

At some point, at some time, we absolutely have to shed the reactionary "plan" concept. We have to analyze the long term effect of a long term proposed plan.  It is real easy to take a number, and assume the number will hold constant or show modest growth over five years and say see it works.  

Indeed there are a few numbers in town one can look at, and assume that because of the past five year trend, if you assume the trend remains the same, we are going to be in pig heaven.  As a math exercise, it is easy to do, and the end total if looked at solely as a math exercise would be absolutely correctly.

However, unless you do a bit of research to first discover what has been causing the upward trend, and also do a bit more research to ascertain the probability that the upward trend will continue, your "A" in Math will result in an "F" for planning. 

I know this isn't much of a blog after so many days absent, however it is as much of a blog as going to happen to day and be able to resist temptation. 

Be safe.

1 comment:

  1. Here is a novel idea,why cant we spend the 2 1/2% tax allowance on one time expenditures rather then spending it to increase our base expenses.We could use part of the funds to set up a long term capital expense fund ,rather than borrow.

    ReplyDelete

Prior to posting a comment, please review "Comment Rules" page.