This one is a bit late this morning. Consider it a two for one, because I am not sure whether I will get to do one tomorrow.
Okay, climbing out a little farther on the first limb of the prognostication tree. As of right now, I revising prior views into the crystal ball and I am seeing a turnout in the neighborhood of 23.7% with a plus or minus a 2% margin of error. I again hope I am completely wrong and the figure is much higher, but in the ifs and buts realm, and taking a shot in the dark, that is where I have it based on the latest information and chatter.
Some of you are presently making predictions in the low teens or less. I initially had that fear. Heck you may turn out to be right. Nothing personal, let's hope you are dead wrong though. the higher the turnout, the better the the indication of the sentiments of the public at large.
The few people who I have stated my revised estimate to think I am going to be way off, as in too high. The consensus for many is in the 15% range. Might just be my optimistic nature, hoping for more. the signs and factors are there for a higher than the consensus.
As of right now, weather forecast is essentially for a near perfect day. Always an important factor. Two very motivated groups. A growing buzz. Active last Saturday before election day sign holding. Yes we all know signs don't vote. But the activity is an indicator of potential turnout. One or two, or three, other things, but if I give them out what secrets would be left?
High or low, either way it is soon to be done. Again, thankfully.
Again yees, yes, I know the election doesn't end the turbine debate. What is does is more firmly put four corners on the issue.
It is the issue. It is what the election is perceived to be about. It is what is driving action, reaction and has most people riveted.
Heck take a look at the article in The Standard Times today. The candidates are the fluff component of the piece.
I had a very interesting conversation yesterday with someone I consider a pretty good observer of matters. Actually had a number of such conversations yesterday. Two of them were with the voices inside my head, but that's another matter entirely.
Anyway, I digress ...
The point, or points ... seems I am not the only one, it is not just me and my invisible friends who can feel a vibe building. That the vibe is not about the candidates. Indeed the candidates have essentially become irrelevant.
If you are looking beneath the surface for some tells, you first have to notice that there are in fact multiple lost opportunities by both sides to capture this election.
Of course the winning side will say so what. We won. I will deal with that concept post election though, if I remember.
Well worn points on here, but it is nice to know the points are being thought elsewhere, along with several others that were discussed.
We are all well aware of the fact that there are issues besides this that have to be dealt with and addressed. Until this one is, as to its specific element of the election, is resolved, everything else has been put on hold.
The results on Monday will determine whether there is in fact a silent majority out there, and just what position it has taken. If we end up with another close result, well from a purely O.P. perspective, that does not bode well for either side, or the town.
If you are on the losing side, you are pushing for a close one. Both sides want to win big, but neither one wants to lose that way. Your first thought might be that is such an obvious thing to say. No one wants to lose big.
True enough, but the ramifications of a big loss will extend to more than just the individual candidates. Bet you were anticipating a bit more elaboration on that. But it is one of those things that in my mind it is one of those obvious things.
Besides I need to wrap up before I have to change the intro.
Be safe.
Okay, climbing out a little farther on the first limb of the prognostication tree. As of right now, I revising prior views into the crystal ball and I am seeing a turnout in the neighborhood of 23.7% with a plus or minus a 2% margin of error. I again hope I am completely wrong and the figure is much higher, but in the ifs and buts realm, and taking a shot in the dark, that is where I have it based on the latest information and chatter.
Some of you are presently making predictions in the low teens or less. I initially had that fear. Heck you may turn out to be right. Nothing personal, let's hope you are dead wrong though. the higher the turnout, the better the the indication of the sentiments of the public at large.
The few people who I have stated my revised estimate to think I am going to be way off, as in too high. The consensus for many is in the 15% range. Might just be my optimistic nature, hoping for more. the signs and factors are there for a higher than the consensus.
As of right now, weather forecast is essentially for a near perfect day. Always an important factor. Two very motivated groups. A growing buzz. Active last Saturday before election day sign holding. Yes we all know signs don't vote. But the activity is an indicator of potential turnout. One or two, or three, other things, but if I give them out what secrets would be left?
High or low, either way it is soon to be done. Again, thankfully.
Again yees, yes, I know the election doesn't end the turbine debate. What is does is more firmly put four corners on the issue.
It is the issue. It is what the election is perceived to be about. It is what is driving action, reaction and has most people riveted.
Heck take a look at the article in The Standard Times today. The candidates are the fluff component of the piece.
I had a very interesting conversation yesterday with someone I consider a pretty good observer of matters. Actually had a number of such conversations yesterday. Two of them were with the voices inside my head, but that's another matter entirely.
Anyway, I digress ...
The point, or points ... seems I am not the only one, it is not just me and my invisible friends who can feel a vibe building. That the vibe is not about the candidates. Indeed the candidates have essentially become irrelevant.
If you are looking beneath the surface for some tells, you first have to notice that there are in fact multiple lost opportunities by both sides to capture this election.
Of course the winning side will say so what. We won. I will deal with that concept post election though, if I remember.
Well worn points on here, but it is nice to know the points are being thought elsewhere, along with several others that were discussed.
We are all well aware of the fact that there are issues besides this that have to be dealt with and addressed. Until this one is, as to its specific element of the election, is resolved, everything else has been put on hold.
The results on Monday will determine whether there is in fact a silent majority out there, and just what position it has taken. If we end up with another close result, well from a purely O.P. perspective, that does not bode well for either side, or the town.
If you are on the losing side, you are pushing for a close one. Both sides want to win big, but neither one wants to lose that way. Your first thought might be that is such an obvious thing to say. No one wants to lose big.
True enough, but the ramifications of a big loss will extend to more than just the individual candidates. Bet you were anticipating a bit more elaboration on that. But it is one of those things that in my mind it is one of those obvious things.
Besides I need to wrap up before I have to change the intro.
Be safe.
After reading today's article in the S-T 9/7 my first thought was not the future of Fairhaven and the upcoming election but about today and what happened in town in the last year. The town is torn apart by can you spell : "w-i-n-d t-u-r-b-i-n-e-s".
ReplyDeleteFairhaven is a coastal community with comparisons to other nearby towns with residential communities. At one time Mattapoisett was trying to install two commercial wind turbines before Fairhaven got theirs many years ago. I wonder how the people in Mattapoisett feel today now that they never got their turbines ?
I did a search for Fairhaven Wind Turbines on the search section of local newspaper. It came up with 859 news stories about these turbines. The turbines have attention from national and international news media.No matter who wins the election commercial wind in Massachusetts got knocked down for the count.
The wind turbine debate has caused a view of all the dirty laundry in town. The turbines never brought in the expected resources expected and only brought ongoing noise complaints. The lack of the predicted funds is being blamed on every financial issue in town.
All the residents in town have to look at the Boston Busing Crisis 40 years ago and ask how could it have gone on so long and costs so much socially & financially. The crisis was because a small minority of students entered into a class-action suit on behalf of 14 parents.The rest is history. The busing incidents crisis still scars Boston today. What will happen in Fairhaven ?
It's sad to say but no matter who wins the election Fairhaven has a small minority of residents living around the turbines that are not going away.